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Traditional Russian speaking and Russia supporting Ukrainians in the east always had the same full rights of citizenship as the more Europe-aligned comrades in the west, so your contrived analogy to Israel / Palestine fails.

Also the (pre-2014 and current) political entity of Ukraine—like the State of Israel—has no natural right to exist, but exist nonetheless it does for political historical reasons. And because it exists and is recognized by the international community as existing, Russia has no right to violate its sovereignty or threaten it’s territorial integrity.

One outcome I could see as a “two-state” equivalent that there would emerge one or more independent sovereign states in Crimea and the Donbas that would be not be under control of either Ukraine or Russia. Those states would not have any natural right to exist either, but would come into existence by international agreement on redrawn political borders to resolve the crisis, like for South Sudan or the Koreas.

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